RISK · REGIME · ML · KILL SWITCH

Risk console.

10:18:42
21 May 2026 · IST
LIVE

Regime engine · 8 states · classifier v4.2

Current · ELEVATED CAUTION · since 09:42
TREND · LOW VOL
4%
Directional, breadth healthy, VIX < 14. Full sizing.
RANGE · HIGH IV
18%
Mean-reverting, IV-rich. Credit strategies preferred.
ELEVATED · CAUTION
46%
VIX shock or session gap. 0.5× sizing default.
EVENT · WINDOW
14%
Scheduled macro event in ±2h. No new exposure.
PANIC
3%
Tail event. Kill-switch fires; exits only.
EXPIRY · NSE
12%
Hour-to-expiry sizing, mandatory 14:00 cut.
EXPIRY · BSE
0%
BSE expiry. Sensex contracts only.
NEWS · DRIVEN
3%
Headline-driven volatility; classifier elevated.

ML risk engine · predicted stop-prob

XGB · 184 features · retrained nightly
WARN line at 35%. NIFTY 22600 PE elevated to 41% due to RBI speech window.

Brier calibration

30-day trend
Alarm at 0.30. Score 0.21 — calibrated, well below threshold.

Kill switch · audit · 13 triggers

12 of 13 healthy
TriggerDescriptionThresholdCurrentState
Daily lossCurrent session realized + unrealized.−1.5% hard0.38%OK
SlippageAverage effective spread on today’s fills.0.25% / fill0.08%OK
VIXIndia VIX intraday change.Δ +15% intraday17.2↑WARN
Data feedFeed lag vs exchange clock.<500ms staleOKOK
Gap riskOvernight σ exposure vs ATR.1.5σ overnight0.4σOK
Broker APIp95 round-trip to broker.<500ms p9542msOK
DrawdownTrailing 20-day peak-to-trough.−5% trailing-20−1.8%OK
ML BrierML stop-prob calibration on last 100 trades.0.30 alarm0.21OK
Edge decay30-day rolling profit factor by strategy.PF < 1.1StableOK
MarginSPAN + exposure utilisation.>85%68%OK
ReconBroker positions vs internal book.Any diffGreenOK
AlertsL1 risk alerts requiring ack.>3 unack 5m0 unackOK
CRITICAL unacked (meta)Composite of all unacked L1 alerts.>3 over 5m0OK